17 municipalities in Ibaraki Prefecture are “at risk of disappearing” Population Strategy Council | NHK Ibaraki Prefecture News

The Population Strategy Council, a private group of experts, analyzed the decline rate of women in their 20s to 30s in each local government by 2050, and found that 17 municipalities in Ibaraki Prefecture are at risk of disappearing eventually. There is,” he announced.

The expert group “Population Strategy Council” analyzed the number of women in their 20s to 30s and the rate of decline in the “young female population” for each city, ward, town, and village based on estimates by the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research. .
This is the second time such an analysis has been made public, the first being 10 years ago.
In the 30 years until 2050, there will be 17 municipalities in the prefecture where the young female population will be less than half, accounting for more than 38% of the total, including Hitachi City and Hitachiota City. It is said that there is a possibility that it will disappear.
Of these, Hokota City and Yachiyo Town were identified for the first time as municipalities at risk of extinction.
There were 26 municipalities where the rate of decline in the young female population was between 20% and less than 50%.
Three of these cities, Ishioka City, Kasama City, and Chikusei City, were classified as municipalities at risk of extinction in the previous analysis, but have now escaped.
On the other hand, Tsukubamirai City is the only “independent and sustainable municipality” in the prefecture where the rate of decline is less than 20%, and “we believe that nearly 50% of the population will remain young women 100 years from now, making it highly sustainable.” It was only.
Assuming that moving in and out continues, Daigo Town had the highest population decline rate of 76.4%, followed by Kawachi Town at 74.7%, Shirosato Town at 71%, and Inashiki Town. The city’s rate is 70.4%.
The two municipalities where the population of young women was expected to increase were Tsukubamirai City (4.1%) and Moriya City (0.3%).